COVID 19 epidemic trajectory and social distancing; modeling results for Ethiopian and Addis Ababa
- WHO declares COVID 19 outbreak as a global pandemic on March 11, 2020. As of April
04, the outbreak reaches to 205 countries and territories.
- Ethiopia reported its first case in March 13, 2020. As of April 03, 35 cases have been
reported. Addis Ababa reported most of the confirmed cases.
- Most of the cases are imported infections with no evidence of community transmission
Contact tracing and follow up is one of the array of interventions that have been
implemented across the country to prevent the spread of the outbreak
- Scenario based mathematical modeling of the outbreak trajectory using empirical data
would guide preparedness and response actions.