Probability of death by NCD in Ethiopia
Probability of death is the probability that a person dies during an interval of two ages given that the rates
of all-cause mortality in a specified year of interest would remain constant into the future. The objective of
this evidence brief is to show the current estimate of the probability of deaths by major NCDs in Ethiopia as
an input for policy
Key findings
- The crude probability of death by NCD at
age45q15(15-60 years) in 2019 was nearly
8% (0.079 ) - The probability of death is higher in males
than females (8.8%vs6.9%) - The trend probability of death due to NCD
remains more or less constant in the past
10 years.
